Shenandoah County, VA Real Estate Market Review – 2017

Shenandoah County, VA Real Estate Market Review – 2017

The Shenandoah County, VA real estate market had a great 2017. The market continues to expand sales and distressed properties (short sales and foreclosures) are dropping yearly. There are plenty of reasons to be enthusiastic.

Shenandoah County, VA Real Estate Market: Positive Numbers

The Shenandoah County, VA real estate market has a lot of positive numbers to bolster Shenandoah County, VA Real Estate Market Review - 2017buyers and sellers. The average sales price is up 8.5% over 2016, and it is up a stunning 16.6% over the 2013. Not every year has been in positive territory since 2013, but four out of five have been better than post-recession 2009-2012.

The market is still 16% off of the 2007 market highs and off 3.6% from the 2008 highs. It is up 30% above the 2011 recession low. Since the market recession began in 2008, the Shenandoah County, VA real estate market has fought its way back year by year with only a few years of serious difficulty.

Shenandoah County, VA Real Estate Market: Distressed Numbers

Distressed properties are a key indicator of a market’s health. When a market has high foreclosures and short sales, the average home valued drops. The presence of distressed properties creates an environment of uncertainty and the real estate market climbs the stairs of certainty.

Shenandoah County, VA Real Estate Market Review - 2017Distressed properties made up 7% of all sales in 2017. That may sound high, but the market neighbors to the north, Frederick County and Winchester City, average 6%. The 7% number is more of the norm and less of a reason to panic. When you realize where the market has been, that 7% looks pretty good.

The percentage of distressed properties in 2016 was 10%, 2015 was 11%, 2014 was 13% and 2013 was 22%. Those numbers are all higher than the average, but they are numbers showing a market that is recovering from the recession. When you factor in the 2008-2012 numbers, a better picture evolves. In 2008, at the early stage of the recession, distressed properties made up 34% of home sales. That was followed by 29% in 2009, 43% in 2010, 40% in 2011 (the worst year of the recession in Shen Co.) and 38% in 2012.

The 2008-2012 numbers make 2017 look incredibly good. The difference from 2017 to the worst number of distressed properties in 2010 is a 16.3% change. That’s substantial. The change shows a market that has found its way back to profitability.

Shenandoah County, VA Real Estate Market: Days on the Market

Another indicator of a market’s health can be days on the market. This isn’t always the case, but it can be an indicator of a positive move forward. The 2017 DOM average was 112. When you compare that to 2013 at 146, you can see a positive change in the contract to closing time.

Days on the market went as high as 156 in 2009, but it has not been below 112 DOM since the recession. The Shenandoah County, VA real estate market average days on the market tends to be at the 100 DOM range. Anything below that would show a change in the flow of home sales. Even before the recession, homes were at or around 100 days on the market.

When you look at the Shenandoah County, VA real estate market, you see increasing home sale prices, lower distressed properties and shorter days on the market. That is a sign of a healthy market.

When you’re ready to buy or sell in the Shenandoah County, VA real estate market, give Cornerstone Business Group, Inc., a call. We are your local real estate sales pros, and we can help you make some great happen in 2018.

Available Homes in Shenandoah County, VA – January 2018

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Canter Estates Subdivision in Stephens City, VA – Real Estate Review – 2017

Canter Estates Subdivision in Stephens City, VA – Real Estate Review – 2017

The Canter Estates subdivision in Stephens City, VA had a solid real estate market in 2017. Like many of its neighboring subdivisions, all the right numbers are up, and the unwanted numbers are down. That is consistent with the broader Frederick County, VA real estate market.

Canter Estates Subdivision in Stephens City, VA: Good numbers

The good numbers in the Canter Estate subdivision are price, distressed properties and Canter Estates Subdivision in Stephens City, VA - Real Estate Review - 2017days on the market. The average home sale in 2017 was $330,386. That is a 4% increase in sales price. Where the average sales price really shines is in the growth over the past five years. There is a 12% improvement in average sales price from 2013.

Each year since 2013, the average sales price has inched its way into positive territory. The average sale price in 2013 was $290,836, $301,240 in 2014, $311,423 in 2015 and $316,874 in 2016. Each year since 2012, an incremental change has taken place that has helped the Canter Estates subdivision regain its prominent place as one of the most desirable neighborhoods in Stephens City, VA.

Homeowners who purchased before the 2008 recession are finally seeing their value come back to near pre-recession values. There is still improvements to be made before the subdivision completely returns to those days of sometimes inflated values, but as of January 1, 2018, the average home sale price is still 10% below the 2007 market average. The local real estate market took a 37% hit with the market collapse in 2008.

Canter Estates Subdivision in Stephens City, VA: More good numbers

Distressed properties are a sign of a market in trouble. The 2017 distressed properties in the Canter Estates subdivision was 12.5%. That is higher than the local market average, but it may be more of an anomaly than a trend. It may also be the last heaving of the past market collapse.

The 2016 distressed number was 3%. That is a below average number. Also, in 2015 Canter Estates Subdivision in Stephens City, VA - Real Estate Review - 2017there were no distressed properties. But from 2014 backward gives a view where the market went during the downturn and where it is today. Those numbers were:

  • 2014 – 14.3%
  • 2013 – 20%
  • 2012 – 46%
  • 2011 – 33%
  • 2010 – 56%
  • 2009 – 30%.

In those numbers, you can see the wild ride the neighborhood had during the down days of the recession. The 12.5% number for 2017 is consistent with the whiplash nature of distressed property sales in the Canter Estates subdivision, but the overall market has made monumental improvements in the past five years, and this neighborhood is no different in those improvements.

Days on the market have been consistent over the past five years with only slight deviations along the way. The 2017 average was 35 days. That is two days above 2016, but here again, it is nominal. There is no changing trend to point to while trying to form an opinion of effect.

Overall, the Canter Estates subdivision is a highly desirable neighborhood with beautiful large homes of many styles. It is close to multiple highways which make it a great place for commuters to live. It is also a sprawling neighborhood with large yards, sidewalks for evening strolls and quick access to shopping, schools and parks.

When you’re ready to buy or sell in the Canter Estates subdivision, give Cornerstone Business Group, Inc. a call. We are your local real estate sales pros and we’re here to help you succeed.

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Winchester-Frederick Co., VA Real Estate Market in Review – 2017

 

 

 

Why do FSBOs often fail to sell? It’s really not a hard question to answer.

Why do FSBOs often fail to sell?

Why FSBOs often fail to sell?As a real estate professional, I’ve seen my share of FSBOs. Most of the time, they end up with a Realtor’s sign in the yard after months of languishing on the market with a “For Sale By Owner” sign. I just passed a former FSBO yesterday. As usual, it has a Realtor sign in the front yard.

Why do FSBOs often fail to sell?

Why do they fail at a higher rate than a professionally listed property?

  • Homeowners seldom really know the current market. That leads to an overpriced home that savvy buyers would never buy. I showed one last year that was 62% overpriced. I guess the seller assumes there is always a buyer with more money than brains out there. What you want, and what a home will sell for may be light years apart.
  • Showing a FSBO can be challenging. When an agent sets up a dozen showings in one day, scheduling becomes an art. Access is the key to making that day successful. If a FSBO can’t allow the house to be shown except on a limited schedule the odds are radically against it. That’s true of listed properties too. Access is critically important.

There’s more to selling homes than placing a sign in the yard.

 

  • Homeowners may not know how to negotiate an offer. There is usually some give and take in a real estate offer. If a FSBO is locked on a price and won’t budge, or won’t let a home inspection or repair request become a part of the deal, or is refusing a termite inspection, or is demanding of a closing date closer than a lender can accommodate, then a buyer can’t buy it. In a case like this, the house is basically an island with no way to visit it.
  • Homeowners may not disclose things, or they may disclose too much.
  • Homeowners may not understand legal contracts. I ended up re-writing a contract for a FSBO a few years ago because there were so many legal liabilities in it that could eventually come back to bite the seller. The seller had no idea, and the buyer, who wasn’t represented either, had no idea of the legal ramifications of a binding contract full of potholes. Contracts are a Realtor’s bread and butter. Most FSBOs never see one away from a Realtor initiated deal.
  • Listed homes sell for more than FSBOs, on average. On average, listed homes sell 10-13% more than FSBOs. A 2015 article by the National Association of Realtors showed that the average FSBO sold for $185000, and the average Realtor listing for a similar house, sold for $240000. That’s a 23% loss by going it alone. Is it worth it?

Why do FSBOs often fail to sell? – Make the best choice

This list could go on and on, but the reality is that a FSBO is almost always better off selling through a competent Realtor. As is the case in most real estate transactions, fees can be negotiated. If money is an issue, let the agent know that up front and he/she can work with you. Having a qualified agent on your side can reduce stress, and it will help you get across the finish line with a better deal.

Why do most FSBOs fail? For the same reason car mechanics don’t do brain surgery. It’s not their area of ability, and for the sake of the community, they’re better off leaving brain surgery to medical professional who do it everyday. The same is true of real estate. Those who do it everyday are your best resource for an excellent outcome.

When you’re ready to list your FSBO with a competent real estate firm, give Cornerstone Business Group, Inc., a call. We are your local real estate sales pros in this area.

Berkeley-Jefferson County, WV Real Estate Market Review – 2017

Berkeley-Jefferson County, WV Real Estate Market Review – 2017

The BerkeleyJefferson County, WV real estate market had a great 2017. Both markets saw increased numbers at all levels, and they outperformed their immediate southern neighbors of Winchester City, Frederick County, and Clarke County, VA by 31%.

Berkeley-Jefferson County, WV Real Estate Market Review: Positive Numbers

The Berkeley-Jefferson County, WV real estate market increased sales 7% over the same period in 2016. The markets have grown 19% over the past five years. Property values have also increased 4% year to year and 18% over the past five years.

More bang for the buck

The 2017 market saw an average sales price of $209,988 for a single family home with 3 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Just across the border in Virginia, that same house would have cost a buyer $277,755.

The Berkeley-Jefferson County, WV real estate markets are geographically positioned Berkeley-Jefferson County, WV Real Estate Market Review - 2017to give commuters into the D.C. – Northern Virginia area more home for the money and an equal or better commute to work. The Amtrak Caperton Station in Martinsburg, WV adds value to living in the area.

Home values have increased steadily for the past five years. The 2016 average sales price was $201,341, with 2015 being $192,578, and 2014 and 2013 at $190,586 and $173,226 respectively. That 2013-2017 change in sales price is 19%. The steady increase in home values shows a market that has not only healed from the 2008 recession, but it one that is thriving.

Berkeley-Jefferson County, WV Real Estate Market Review: A Critical Indicator

One of the more critical indicators of market health is the volume of distressed property sales. This an area where the numbers show the biggest improvement. The number of distressed property sales in 2013 was 29% of the market.

Berkeley-Jefferson County, WV Real Estate Market Review - 2017Distressed properties are made up of short sales and foreclosures. Foreclosures dominated the market as the recession of 2008 became the dominate factor in home sales. By 2010, short sales entered the market in volume and created a second wave of bad news for local residents. The change from 2013 to 2017 has been dramatic. Current distressed property sales are down 24% since 2013. The local market has settled into a pre-recession norm of about 5.5% across both markets.

Another positive indicator of market health is days on the market. The days on the market have not changed a single digit in 5 years. Days on the market were 76 in 2017 and they were also 76 in 2013. The middles years drifted back and forth between 93 DOM in 2015 to 89 in 2016, but those changes are small. As long as inventory doesn’t become a challenge for the local market, the Berkeley-Jefferson County, WV real estate markets are set for a banner year in 2018.

When you’re ready to sell or buy a home in the Berkeley-Jefferson County, WV real estate market, give Cornerstone Business Group, Inc., a call. We are your local real estate sales pros.