Red Fox Run, Winchester, VA – 2018 Real Estate Market Review

Red Fox Run, Winchester, VA – 2018 Real Estate Market Review

Red Fox Run in Winchester, VA had a solid year in real estate for 2018. The Frederick County, VA real estate market saw an increase in homes sales by 1.8%. That seems low, but in comparison to the national average, it’s an improvement.

Nationwide, the number of home sales actually declined in 2018 -4.3%. Red Fox Run also saw a decline in the number of homes sold in 2018 from the previous year but in a micro-economics view, that can mean something, or it can mean nothing.

The fact that fewer homes sold in Red Fox Run may simply mean that fewer peopleRed Fox Run, Winchester, VA - 2018 Real Estate Market Review sold their homes on purpose. According to a Gallup survey, “one in four Americans move every 5 years.” That number equates to about 11 moves in a lifetime. That’s a huge number, but the US society has become much more mobile than a few decades ago. People move for jobs, to be close to family, to retire or start a new business, to attend college or for a host of reasons.

According to 2018 statistics, only 7 homeowners moved from Red Fox Run. It’s a highly desirable neighborhood in a great place. There are plenty of reasons to stay in the neighborhood. It’s on the south-eastern side of Winchester, VA. Mall shopping, grocery shopping, auto or just about anything else you need to shop for is less than 5 minutes away in multiple directions. Five major highways are just as close.

Red Fox Run, Winchester, VA: Property Sales Value Increase

Red Fox Run is like most neighborhoods in the Winchester-Frederick County, VA real estate market. It saw challenges from foreclosures and short sales during the 2008-2013 recession, but it has continually improved in the years since. In the 2018, there wasn’t a single short sale or foreclosure reported.

Price appreciation is also showing good numbers. From the 2014 to 2018, home sale prices rose 15%. From 2017 to 2018, the market had an increase of 4.7% in home sale prices. Only one time since 2013 have values declined. In 2016, home sale prices dropped -2%, but the next year they increased 7.8%, and there has been a steady increase year to year for most of the past five years.

Another interesting statistic in Red Fox Run is the percentage of list price to sold price. Homes in Red Fox Run typically sell for near list price. The average home sold for 99.19 % of the list price in 2018. That may say a lot about how homes were priced at the time they were listed, but it may also say a lot about how much buyers are willing to pay to purchase in the neighborhood.

The 2018 days on the market were down to 42 from 82 the year before. The Winchester, VA real estate market shifted toward buyers in 2018, allowing homes to sit on the market a little longer because sellers weren’t ready to negotiate away their former market dominance. But, at the end of the year sellers still controlled the market in Red Fox Run.

Overall, Red Fox Run has a healthy year-end report. It offers, spacious homes, a variety of home styles on comfortable lots and lower traffic. It is not a pass-through to another area. For families with children, there are two elementary and one middle school within a mile. A new high school is planned to be built-in the area as Admiral Byrd Middle School and Evendale Elementary School. That means a child can start and finish school within walking distance of the neighborhood.

Red Fox Run, Winchester, VA is a highly desirable neighborhood with a lot of benefits. When you’re ready to buy, or ready to sell in the neighborhood, give me a call at Cornerstone Business Group, Inc., I am your neighborhood real estate sales pro.

This post was originally posted at Red Fox Run, Winchester, VA – 2018 Real Estate Market Review



Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA – Real Estate Year in Review – 2018

Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA – Real Estate Year in Review – 2018

Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA had a very good real estate year in 2018. The highly Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA - Real Estate Year in Review - 2018desirable community of homes had a 6.6% sales rate for the 2018 market year. The number of 2018 sales were a 16% increase over 2017. Ironically, 2018 was a -15% over 2016.

As the local markets began to heal from the 2008 recession, the percentage of change was all over the map. The 2018 market sales were 93% higher than 2015, but they were even higher over 2014. The percentage change over 2014 was 107%. That’s a pretty good sign of where the market was, and where it is today.

Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA: 2018 Sales by the Month.

I’m asked every year, “When is the best time to list my home.” My answer is basically, when you’re ready. Buyers buy all year-long. Let me show you what I mean. In Canter Estates, home sales have been consistent throughout the year.

As a matter of fact, home sale have done better in most cooler to cold months than in Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA - Real Estate Year in Review - 2018the warmer to hot months. Of the 29 sales, January, February, March and October made up 13 sales. That means 45% of total sales took place in the cooler to cold months. That blows a hole in the “list in the Spring because that is the best time to sell” theory. To be fair, April was also a very good month with 4 sales. If you add April to our list, those five months made up 59% of total sales. The warm months made up 38% of total sales for 2018.

Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA: Distressed Sales

Distressed sales still managed to show up in Canter Estates in 2018, but they were minor in comparison to the dog days of the recession. They did manage to be 6.9% of total sales. That number sounds huge until you learn that it was 2 out of 29 sales. That number does not show a trend or offer any form of caution about the future in Canter Estates.

Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA: Average Sales Price

The average home sale price in Canter Estates was $353,921. That was for a four bedroom – 3 bath (2.5 in most cases) home. For those considering a sale in the near to immediate future, that equates to $139.25 per square foot of value in your home. That number can help you learn what your home may sell for.

The average days on the market for a Canter Estates home was 60 days. Days on the market is an outlier number for most market updates. It can mean something, and it can mean absolutely nothing. There are so many factors that cause days on the market to be high or low that it is hard to use it as a precursor to a sale price.

A home can be priced to high, and it lingers on the market. A house can be in a less desirable place, and the days can add. A neighbor may have a barking dog that keeps a home in the market. A section of a street may have a high volume of teenagers who shoot basketball at all hours of the day and night. There are so many things that can influence days on the market that it is hard to use it when making an offer on a home.

The best advice for listing a home is to price it right, make sure it’s in great condition, keep it ready to show all the time, and trust the agent you hired to sell it. When you’re ready to sell your Canter Estates home, call me at Cornerstone Business Group, Inc., and I’ll put my decades of experience, my technological skills and my market understanding to work for you. Let’s have a great 2019 in Canter Estates.


Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA – Mid-Year Real Estate Update – 2018

Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA – Mid-Year Real Estate Update – 2018

The Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA mid-year real estate update for 2018 shows a community that is hitting all the right notes. The numbers that need to be up are up and those that need to be down are down. The trajectory of the community is on an upward path and a great 2018.

Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA: Growing Average Home Sale Prices

The average home sale price for the first six months of 2018 was $372,074. That is a Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA - Mid-Year Real Estate Update - 20185% improvement from 2017 and a 19% increase in home sale prices since 2014. Each year since 2014, the average sale price has risen. The smallest rise was in 2015 at 1%, but increases have been from 4% in 2016 to 8% in 2018.

That’s good news for homeowners who have waited for right time to list their homes. The continued good news coming out of the real estate market should bolster seller’s confidence that now is a safe time to sell at a profit. The pains of the 2008 market collapse are no longer on the minds of homeowners, and that is justified. The new market is strong, steady and moving in the right direction. There are no whipsaw features built into it and sellers and buyers can enter the market with confidence that the market has reached a healthy place.

Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA: Distressed No More

One of the most encouraging numbers in the Canter Estates subdivision is the number of distressed properties that sold in the first six months of 2018. Distressed properties are made up of foreclosures and short sales. Canter Estates had zero (0) distressed sales the first six months of 2018. That is a pattern that has built for the past five years. The neighborhood has only had three in fives years. That is an incredible number when comparing Canter Estates to other Stephens City subdivisions.

One last number that is showing a good consistent pattern is days on the market. The average days on the market for the first six months of 2018 was 36. That is consistent with the past five years. Days on the market is an unusual marker for any market health survey. It can give a false view or a very right view of the market. There are many things that affect the DOM. Location, condition and price all affect the price and sale-ability of a home. If a home is in good condition, it’s priced well and it’s in a desirable area, it should sell quickly, and the Canter Estates DOM shows those three are right where they need to be.

When you’re ready to buy or sell in the Canter Estates subdivision, give Mike Cooper a call. Mike is your local real estate sales pro.


Winchester-Frederick County, VA Mid-Year Real Estate Market Update – 2018

Winchester-Frederick County, VA Mid-Year Real Estate Market Update – 2018

The Winchester-Frederick County, VA mid-year real estate market update for 2018 continues to show promise of a good year despite the effects of a few headwinds. Throughout the country, many housing markets have slowed. There are many pockets of robust sales, but in a general sense, there has been a slowdown. Forbes magazine points to a housing slowdown in its six predictions for the 2018 housing market.

A Pull-back in Winchester-Frederick County, VA Home Sales

Winchester-Frederick Co., VA did see a slight pull-back from 2017 home sales. Housing Winchester-Frederick County, VA Mid-Year Real Estate Market Update - 2018sales were 827 for the first half of 2018. That is a 4% decline over 2017 sales (856). The majority of local sales were in the Frederick County side of the market, which is consistent year to year. Frederick County had 665 sales in the first half of 2018 and Winchester City had 162. The 2017 sales were Frederick County at 682 and Winchester City at 174.

There were contributing factors in the decline in sales. Low inventory continues to haunt the country. There are 365 available homes on the Winchester-Frederick County, VA housing market. That is a considerable improvement from the first of the year, and an even greater improvement from the Fall of 2017. With the market finding its most aggressive point at 500-600 homes available at any time, 365 is still only 73% of the low-side of a healthy market. The current number of available homes is 2.9 months of inventory.

Winchester vs Frederick County, VA Home Sale Appreciation

As inventory improves, other factors are affecting home-buyers. Local home prices have fluctuated both up and down over the year to year statistics. Frederick County, VA has seen a 7% price increase on an average home. The first six months saw an average home selling at $284,590, while 2017 was $265,844. That is good news for county home-owners who are in the market to sell.

Winchester City did not fare as well. The Winchester City market was off by 9.8%. The average housing price dropped from $270,575 in 2017 to $243,834 in 2018. Availability may have been an issue in the city, but for those who choose to live in the city, affordable housing may be another problem. Many of those who are now renting are having a struggle saving enough money for down-payments, earnest money deposits and mortgage payments. Local rental costs have soared in the past few years, putting potential home-buyers on the sidelines. U. S. News and World Report has predicted that climbing rental costs will keep more Americans in rentals in 2018. 

Winchester-Frederick County, VA Distressed Sales

One area of the Winchester-Frederick County, VA real estate market that has not been Winchester-Frederick County, VA Mid-Year Real Estate Market Update - 2018a drag on home sales and value, has been the distressed property sales. Distressed properties are foreclosures and short sales. The 2018 mid-year average was at 6.4%. That is slightly higher than 2017, but it is small. The 2017 number was 5.7%. The local real estate market has hovered around 6% for many of the years since the recession of 2008 – 2013. The national average has fallen consistently and is at the lowest level since 2007. 

There are currently 232 pending sales in the local market. Of that number, 4.2% are distressed properties. A greater and more encouraging number is the number of new construction homes that are under contract. Currently, 14% of the pending home sales are new construction.

If new construction is factored into the local available housing numbers, there are 579 homes available. That is 37% of the local available properties. That brings the available properties back in line with a strong and vibrant market. The only issue with “to-be-built” homes is the waiting period. If a new resident, or a current home-owner who chooses to build a new home, the waiting period may force the new resident into a rental, and that same period may compel the home-owner to keep the current home off the market until a short time before the new home is ready to move into, stifling inventory.

The Winchester-Frederick County, VA housing market can be very static at times. After the challenges of the pre-and-post recession, a more steady movement in the market is welcome. It would be ideal to see an increase in inventory and sales, but as long as the critical numbers are moving in the right direction, the local market is consistently improving.

When you’re ready to buy or sell in the Winchester-Frederick County, VA real estate market, give us a call. Cornerstone Business Group, Inc., is your local real estate sales pro, and we can make something great happen with your housing needs.