Winchester Distressed Properties Are No Longer Distressing

Winchester Distressed Properties Are No Longer Distressing

The good news for the Winchester-Frederick County, VA real estate market just keeps rolling in. It’s safe to say that Winchester distressed properties are no longer distressing most home-owners. What is a distressed property? A distressed property can be a short sale or a foreclosure (or REO, real estate owned).

Winchester Distressed Properties Are No Longer DistressingA short sale is a property the lender gives the home-owner permission to sell below the current loan balance. Many homeowners who bought in the pre-recession years, bought their homes at a premium price. For instance, a home that sold for $400,000 in 2006 lost value during the recession, and owners who carried those mortgages found themselves in trouble in 2008 and beyond.

Winchester distressed properties: What are they?

The Winchester real estate market lost an average of 33% in the fall of 2008, and soon after, Winchester distressed properties shot up. That $400,000 home was now worth $280,000 – $300,000. That left the home-owner with a debt of up to $100,000 beyond his home’s value which was no longer backed by his real estate. That scenario is where the often used real estate term, “under-water” originated. In that case, the owner was drowning in his mortgage debt because he owned more than the home was worth.

Distressed properties came in waves. The first wave of distressed properties came by way of foreclosure. Many families who were dependent on two incomes were reduced to one income as the economy and the real estate values contracted. They were followed by investors who over-extended themselves, and finally, those owners who were hanging on by their fingernails lost their battle in 2009 through 2013. That opened the door to a wave of short sales.

All Winchester-Frederick County distressed properties have declined over the past three years, but the most recent news is the best. Of the current pending sales (homes under contract), only 8.7% are distressed properties. This is a place where an interesting phenomena has taken place. Up until this year, foreclosures have always been the primary source of distressed properties, but in June of 2017, short sales are leading that group of Winchester distressed properties at 6.2% of that total. Foreclosures make up the rest at 2.5%. That number is likely to return to higher foreclosures as short sales continue to fall, but both categories are on the decline.

Winchester distressed properties: By the numbers

There are 289 pending sales in the Winchester-Frederick County, VA real estate market. Of those, there are 15 short sales and 7 foreclosures. If you know how the numbers unfold, you can decide whether this is a time to panic or is it the natural progression of a market on the move.

Of the 15 short sales that are pending, 77% (13) were homes purchased before 2008. Winchester Distressed Properties Are No Longer DistressingBecause of the inflated home values before the recession, those properties would be prime candidates for an under-water mortgage. The highest number of short sales also corresponds to highest home sale prices immediately before the recession (2007). The remaining 13% of Winchester distressed properties (2) were purchased after the recession began.

The reason there so many short sales pending in June 2017 is because of the way short sales progress. Before a home-owner can qualify to do a short sale, she must communicate with her bank that she can no longer afford her home and she needs to do something. The home-owner has a few options. None are very good, but she can allow the home to be foreclosed, or offer a deed in lieu of foreclosure or she can begin a short sale.

Winchester distressed properties: How short sales work

A short sale is only possible if the bank agrees to allow the home-owner to sell the property below the loan balance. When the bank agrees, the home is listed and buyers can make offers. Once a buyer makes an offer, the seller can accept the offer, but that does not mean that the property will ever go to closing. The bank also has to agree to the offer. This is where the third part approval is needed a second time in the sale. It’s also traditional real estate sale practices and timelines disappear.

A bank may take 3 months to 6 months to 18 months to accept the buyer’s offer. Even though the seller has already said, “Yes,” to the buyer’s offer, the bank has to sign off on it. Of the pending short sales, 6 of those properties were listed in 2016. Only 9 were listed this year (2017). Some of those short sales have been under contract for months waiting for “third-party approval.”

The bank will hire local real estate agents to assess the property to make sure the list price is a fair price, and they will compare the buyer offer to that assessment. If there is a large gap, they bank will likely turn it down, and that can come after 90 days, or more, of waiting. A short sale is not a good property for someone who has to move quickly. Once the bank has accepted the buyer’s offer, then the process of a traditional sale begins. Home inspections are scheduled, earnest money deposits are deposited, title searches are conducted and the process begins to move toward closing.

Winchester Distressed Properties Are No Longer DistressingThere are 15 short sales pending in June 2017, but they are more likely a sign that the market is doing a little housekeeping after the recession. If the balance of the homes under short sale contracts had been purchased in 2013 and beyond, I would be concerned. Since they are pre-recession purchases, they’re showing that real estate prices were over-inflated, buyers were over extended and the market was in deep need of a correction.

Another reason not to panic over the June 2017 numbers is that there are 535 active listings on the Winchester-Frederick County, VA real estate market. Of that number, only 3.8% are distressed properties. That’s a negligible number compared to where the market has been in the past decade. Only .01% of those distressed properties are short sales. The Winchester distressed properties are no longer distressing home-owners, and that’s good news for everyone in the Winchester-Frederick County, VA real estate market.

 

 

 

Winchester-Frederick County, VA Home Sales for the First Third of 2017

Winchester-Frederick County, VA Home Sales for the First Third of 2017

The Winchester-Frederick County, VA home sales for the first third of 2017 have been Winchester-Frederick County, VA Home Sales for the First Third of 2017on a consistent growth trajectory. Sales have climbed 4% year to year, and there was a 2% drop in distressed property sales.  Currently, distressed property sales make up 9% of total sales,  and that has become an average based on total yearly sales for the past two years. The first third of 2016 included 11% distressed sales. It’s encouraging to see distressed property sales finding a floor after the high numbers during the recession.

Average Prices of Winchester-Frederick County, VA Home Sales

The average home price has also increased in the first third of 2017. Home prices have risen 4% over those of 2016. That brings the average home price to $256,607. The increase equates to $10,343 in 2017.  That is good news for sellers in both Winchester and Frederick County.

Home prices increase when inventory is low, and the current market has a “thinventory.” There are now 546 homes available on the Winchester-Frederick County, VA real estate market. The market operates best when the available homes average in the 500-600 range with the 500-550 range being the most aggressive and active.

In the summer of 2014, the market saw a large increase of available homes, and the market slowed considerably. The market today, is fast-moving and active with a high number of buyers and a low number of homes. It is becoming a seller’s market. That combination pushes the market up with multiple offers on many homes.

Where’s the highest level of activity

The Winchester-Frederick County, VA real estate market is made up of Winchester City and multiple communities which make up Frederick County. Frederick County surrounds Winchester City. On the southern side of Winchester is a small, but rapidly growing, community called Stephens City.

Stephens City is a perfect place for those who want quick access to just about anything and everything, but they don’t want the busyness of a bigger city. Multiple major highways pass through Stephens City, and some of those highways lead into the Washington, D. C. area. That has helped Stephens City, VA become a bustling bedroom community for the metro area, as well as, for Winchester-Frederick County.

Stephens City, VA made up 23% of the first third of 2017 real estate sales. That is down 2% from 2016, but that is negligible. A high volume of new homes are being built in the Stephens City area and more are projected throughout 2017. Of the 546 available homes in the Winchester-Frederick County, VA real estate market, 15% of those are available in the Stephens City area.

The Winchester-Frederick County, VA home sales are on track for another banner year.

For those watching the real estate market in Winchester-Frederick County, VA, you can breathe a sigh of relief. It looks like we’re back on track for another banner year. The dark days of the 2008 and beyond the recession genuinely seem to be behind us, and the future looks bright.

When you’re ready to buy or sell in the Winchester-Frederick County real estate market, be sure to give Cornerstone Business Group, Inc., a call. We are your local real estate sales pros.

Wakeland Manor, Stephens City, VA – 2016 Real Estate Market Review

Wakeland Manor, Stephens City, VA – 2016 Real Estate Market Review

Wakeland Manor in Stephens City, VA, is one of the oldest and newest subdivisions in Wakeland Manor, Stephens City, VA - 2016 Real Estate Market Reviewthe Frederick County. Some homes date back to the 1970s and there is new construction going on today.

The community is made up of older ranch style houses, split foyers and newer two-story colonials and contemporary homes. There is also wonderful townhouse complex in the neighborhood. Wakeland Manor has a community center with a pool for residents. It is on the east side of Stephens City, which is a great place for commuters. Residents who live in Wakeland Manor have quick access to multiple highways leading in the DC Metro area and north and south into West Virginia and Maryland and the southern Shenandoah Valley.

Wakeland Manor by the numbers 2016

Wakeland Manor had a small pullback on home sales in 2016 as compared to 2015. There were 40 homes sold compared to 50 in 2015. Of those homes sold, the townhouse complex made up 13 of those homes. Those townhouses are large homes with spacious rooms and a contemporary style. The townhouse complex also has tennis courts and a basketball court for residents.

The average days on the market was up slightly from 2015. The average days on the market was 53 in 2016 and 43 in 2015. That’s not a major change. There is new construction at all corners of Stephens City, VA. That may have contributed to the days on the market. More options give buyers more time to make a decision.

The best numbers

The best numbers came in the average sale price of homes sold. In 2015, the average sale price was $269,692 and it was $272,037 in 2016. That’s not a huge number, but it is a number that is moving in the right direction. Wakeland Manor has something for every housing taste.

If you’re in the market to buy or sell in the Wakeland Manor area, give Mike Cooper a call. Mike is your local real estate sales pro.

 

Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA Real Estate Year in Review – 2016

Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA Real Estate Year in Review – 2016

Canter Estates is on the east side of Stephens City, VA. It’s a highly desirable Canter Estates, Stephens City, VA Real Estate Year in Review - 2016neighborhood with a variety of housing styles. Custom builders, such as, KHovnanian and Ashbrooke Homes have shared in the construction of many, if not most of the homes built there.

The neighborhood boarders Rt 522 which is a connecting highway between Rt 66, Rt 50, I81, Rt 55 and Rt 340 which makes Canter Estates a commuter’s dream. Within a few minutes, a homeowner who commutes into the DC Metro area can be on a highway leading to their destination. It also gives southern and northern commuters the same advantage.

Canter Estates by the numbers

Canter Estates saw an incredible jump in home sales in 2016. Homes sales were up 142% from 2015 with 29. The previous year saw 12. Distressed properties have not had a major market impact over the 2015-2016 market years.

In a unique phenomenon, 18 of the 29 homes sold in the first 6 months. Eleven homes were sold from July through December. March and November saw no home sales. There is no simple explanation for those stats.

More good numbers

Canter Estates real estate did see some similarities with 2015. The average days on the market were 28 in 2016 and 32 in 2015. Also, the average sale price for 2016 was $304,732, and the average for 2015 was $302,383. These numbers show no real change.

The average sale in 2016 was a 4 bedroom – 2.5 baths home. Two of the 29 sales were homes constructed in 2016, but the average year of construction was 2004. New construction continues to appear on the Canter Estates landscape. Canter Estates gives buyers the advantage of feeling like they are living in a quiet comfortable rural area while having access to all city amenities within minutes.

If you’re in the market to buy or sell in this great neighborhood, give Mike Cooper a call. Mike is your local real estate sales pro.